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BMJ 2003;327:1017 (1 November), doi:10.1136/bmj.327.7422.1017
Iain Chalmers, coordinator1, Cath Rounding, coordinator2, Kate Lock, coordinator3
1 UK Randomised Controlled Trial Registration Project, UK Cochrane Centre, Oxford OX2 7LG, 2 Medical Research Council and Medical Research Charities Subproject, UK Randomised Controlled Trial Registration Project, 3 Department of Health and NHS Subproject, UK Randomised Controlled Trial Registration Project
Correspondence to: I Chalmers ichalmers{at}jameslindlibrary.org
Design Descriptive survey.
Setting Randomised controlled trials funded by the Medical Research Council, NHS research and development programme, Department of Health, Chief Scientist Office in Scotland, and medical research charities.
Participants 1464 randomised controlled trials supported by the main non-commercial sources of funding.
Results Support for randomised controlled trials by the main sources of non-commercial funding in the United Kingdom has fallen in recent years, without any concomitant increase in the sample sizes of these studies. Drug trials in a limited range of health problems have dominated among the studies supported by the Medical Research Council and medical research charities. Until recently, the NHS research and development programme supported randomised controlled trials of various healthcare interventions, in a wide range of health problems, but between 1999 and 2002 many of the subprogrammes that had commissioned trials were discontinued.
Conclusions The future of non-commercial randomised controlled trials in the United Kingdom has been threatened by the discontinuation or demise of national and regional NHS research and development programmes. Support also seems to be declining from the Medical Research Council and the medical research charities. It is unclear what the future holds for randomised controlled trials that address issues of no interest to industry but are of great importance to patients and practitioners.
We coded the health problems and interventions studied. Each study was assigned to at least one health problem and at least one intervention category.
Figure 1 shows trends in the number of randomised controlled trials funded over this period. Of 615 randomised controlled trials funded between 1991 and 2002 by the NHS research and development programme or Department of Health, 514 (83.6%) were funded through programmes that stopped commissioning between 1999 and 2002. No evidence was detected that the recent decline in the number of trials in all three sectors had been accompanied by an increase in the size of trials or any trend towards multi-centre collaboration.
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A wider variety of health and other problems were studied in trials funded by the NHS than in those funded by either the Medical Research Council or medical research charities, among which cancer predominated (see bmj.com). Similarly, a wider variety of healthcare interventions were studied in trials funded by the NHS (fig 2). Contrasts are evident in education and training, service delivery, psychological therapy, and social and complex care. Such methodologically challenging trials featured in the NHS trials' portfolio, but infrequently among trials funded by the Medical Research Council and medical research charities, where drug trials dominated.
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By contrast, the noticeable decline in the number of trials funded by the NHS between 1998 and 2002 is likely to be real and to reflect the conclusion of the series of time limited national NHS research and development programmes (for example, those in mental illness and asthma) and the fact that regional NHS research and development programmes were brought to an abrupt end during another unanticipated reorganisation of the NHS. These programmes gave substantial visibility to the NHS research and development programme in high impact journals such as the BMJ and the Lancet.
In addition, the regional NHS research and development programmes also provided a mechanism through which new ideas could be piloted on a limited scale before a substantive study. The demise of these programmes is therefore particularly regrettable.
Contrasts were apparent in the range of health problems and interventions addressed by the studies. These patterns seem likely to reflect the fact that the NHS research and development programme actively commissioned studies in under-researched areas, whereas the funding patterns of the Medical Research Council and the medical research charities reflect their responses to the interests of investigators.
The dominance of trials in cancer reflects not only support from wealthy research charities in this discipline but also the Medical Research Council budget for cancer trials that existed until the late 1990s. The important infrastructure for cancer trials established over previous decades has provided an excellent foundation for the work of the recently established National Cancer Research Network.
The dominance of drug trials among studies funded by the Medical Research Council and the medical research charities is all the more remarkable since most commercially funded trials are studies on drugs. Some of the most important drug trials supported by the Medical Research Council tend to be large studies that have yielded strong evidence on the effects of drugs on outcomes that matter to patients, which have not been studied in prelicensing studies funded by industry. Furthermore, industry has shown little or no interest in evaluating the effects of inexpensive but important drugs (such as aspirin in cardiovascular and other diseases) in "head-to-head" studies comparing the relative merits of alternative drug regimens, or in the long term follow up studies that are needed to obtain a more complete view of the effects of drugs.
The information that has emerged from our survey influenced the Medical Research Council's review.1 It recommended that the council should be more pro-active in fostering trials testing some of the more methodologically challenging interventions (psychological therapies and service organisation, for example) and in evaluating healthcare interventions in areas of morbidity that have tended to be neglected, such as mental ill health.1
It cannot be assumed that the things that get studied in trials, or the way that they are studied, necessarily reflect the priorities of patients and health professionals.2 3 Patients may be engaged to a greater extent in prioritising and designing randomised controlled trials and might also be helped further if a patient led guide could be established.4 5 At a time when industry's clinical research agenda seems likely to compromise the future of non-commercial trials, it is important to consider how best to foster randomised controlled trials that address questions relevant to the needs of people using and working in the health services.6 7
Given the Department of Health's response to the European Clinical Trials Directive, a new Department of Health and Medical Research Council Task Force has been established to find solutions to some of the concerns that demand immediate attention.7 But the greatly reduced capacity of the NHS to commission randomised controlled trials relevant to its work is a serious threat to the organisation's ability to generate information relevant to serving patients and the public effectively.1 This is surprising and regrettable given the implicit desire in The NHS Plan to increase the proportion of patients treated within the context of randomised controlled trials.8
What should be the contribution of the medical research charities in supporting randomised controlled trials relevant to the needs of patients? Although some have a longstanding commitment to supporting randomised controlled trials, there is overall modest investment in such trials by medical research charities.9 Through the Pharmaceutical Industry Competitiveness Task Force, the government has made clear its commitment to facilitate the conduct of commercial drug trials in the NHS.10 We believe that a coherent strategy is also needed to ensure support for the many randomised controlled trials that are of no interest to industry but are nevertheless of importance to patients and practitioners. Given the responses to the Medical Research Council's consultation, factors that will have to be taken into account include the increased administrative burden that now faces anyone contemplating involvement in clinical research of this kind.1
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This is an abridged version; the full version is on bmj.com
Acknowledgments appear on bmj.com
The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and are not necessarily the views or the policies of the Cochrane Collaboration.
Contributors: See bmj.com
Funding: IC and KL were funded by the NHS research and development programme. CR was funded by the Medical Research Council.
Competing interests: IC is employed on a part-time basis to help promote some of the objectives arising from the Clinical Trials for Tomorrow review. He is funded for this purpose by the Medical Research Council and the Department of Health.
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